European Tour: Omega Dubai Desert Classic
The Emirates course has hosted this event for a number of years. Although set in the desert past results suggest that accuracy is more important than power on this track. Certainly last year the rough was thick but patchy. With course specialist McIlroy looking hard to beat we will focus on the “Betting without McIlroy” market.
OUTRIGHT: Thorbjorn Olesen, 1 pt win and place 25/1 (1/4 Odds 5 Places w/o McIlroy)
Olesen was unsurprisingly inconsistent last season as he battled back from a wrist injury sustained in 2014. After a noteworthy display in Qatar last week, where he finished runner-up to winner Branden Grace, if he can find some consistency in his game he is likely to challenge this week in an event where he has recent excellent course form of 3T in 13 and 5T in 14.
OUTRIGHT: Robert Rock, 0.5 pts win and place 50/1 (1/4 Odds 5 Places w/o McIlroy)
After a rather barren spell Rock has shown some very consistent form this season with a string of top 30 finishes behind him. While last week’s tied twentieth place finish in Qatar is encouraging his accurate game is more suited to The Emirates track where his course form reads 7T in 13, 5T in 14 and 9T in 15.
OUTRIGHT: Bradley Dredge, 0.5 pts win and place 75/1 (1/4 Odds 5 Places w/o McIlroy)
Injury ravaged Dredge lost confidence in his game and tumbled down the rankings as he tinkered with swing changes. That appears to have changed now as he has gone back to basics and implemented proven swing keys which have brought success in the past. The results are encouraging and he looked confident in finishing tied fourth in Qatar last week. He must be relishing returning to an event where he has course form of 7T in 02, 12T in 04, 13T in 06, 14T in 08, 16T in 09 and 10T in 11.
PGA Tour: Waste Management Phoenix Open
Weather and course conditions have had a major influence on the outcome of this event over the last few years. When the weather has been windy and the course/greens firm and dry players such as Hunter Mahan have tended to come to the fore whereas in more benign conditions long hitters such as JB Holmes have tended to excel. In a traditionally low scoring event good putters tend to do well.
OUTRIGHT: Jason Dufner, 0.5 pts win and place 28/1 (1/5 Odds 7 Places)
The newly slimmed down Dufner has travelled a long and sometimes tortuous road since winning The USPGA title a few years back, when a combination of injury and personal problems set him back. However in winning the Career Builder Challenge two weeks ago he has shown he is well on the way to a full recovery and he must be noted here in an event where his previous form reads 2nd in 11 and 8T in 12.
OUTRIGHT: Patton Kizzire 0.5 pts win and place 80/1 (1/4 Odds 6 Places)
The Web.com’s top player in 2015 has made a significant impression since commencing his PGA Tour career this season. Indeed he almost won the Shriners event in October and it is that performance in desert conditions which catches the eye this week. Although he has no course form he has a decent draw and the odds on offer look good value.