EUROPEAN TOUR: The ISPS Handa Super 6
The Lake Karrinyup course hosted this event in its former guise as a 72 hole stroke play event so most players will be familiar with the layout. However the format has altered radically and now, after the standard 36 hole cut, the next cut after round 3 will leave only 24 players vying for the title in a six hole matchplay format where the top 8 seeds will be the top scorer after 54 hole. This make the event very wide open so expect a few favourites to topple at an early stage.
OUTRIGHT: Jason Scrivener, 0.5 pts win and place 50/1 (1/4 odds 4 places)
Local boy Scrivener underlined both his familiarity with and liking for this track by following up three earlier top thirty finishes here with an excellent third place finish last year. Although he may lack any significant matchplay credentials local knowledge and support allied with a lottery of a format may well play into his hands and he looks fair value at these odds.
PGA TOUR: Genesis Open
The 7,300 yards long, par 71 Riviera course, known as Hogan’s Alley, is one of the top courses on Tour. The combination of tight, tree-lined fairways bordered by generally thick Kikuyu rough with small, testy Poa Annua greens favours accurate, patient and experienced players. The course tends to favour left to right hitters. Local Californian players tend to go well here.
OUTRIGHT: Dustin Johnson, 1 pt win and place 9/1 (1/4 odds 5 places)
Johnson himself said he appears to have sharpened his game up last week at Pebble Beach in readiness for a win so it may pay to favour him this week on a course he loves where he has few peers with form figures reading 10T in 09, 3T in 10, 4T in 12, 2nd in 14, 2T in 15 and 4th in 16.
OUTRIGHT: Sergio Garcia, 0.5 pts win and place 25/1 (1/5 odds 7 places)
Garcia has a very strong track record here on this tough track which suits his game perfectly of 6th in 07, 4T in 12, 13T in 13 and 4T in 15. Crucially he appears to be in a very positive mental state at the moment as marriage beckons. This translated into a win last time out in Dubai, a win backed up by some very strong stats so it may pay to catch him when he’s hot?
OUTRIGHT: Charles Howell III, 0.5 pts win and place 66/1 (1/4 odds 6 places)
Compilers may be overlooking the fact that Howell has been one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour this season with six top fifteen place finishes in his last six outings culminating in a runner-up finish at The Farmers Insurance event three week ago. Add into the mix his solid previous course form here which reads 6T in 02, 2nd in 03 and 1st in 07 and, although he is a less than prolific winner, we may have the makings of a very decent value place bet at very least.