EUROPEAN TOUR: The BMW PGA Championship
A strong field has assembled this week at the revamped Wentworth track with new bent grass greens and bunkering which will test the patience and accuracy of the players especially down the closing stretch. Ability to score well on the par 5's is key here and course experience and ability to read the subtle borrows on the greens are strong assets.
OUTRIGHT: Tommy Fleetwood, 0.5 pts win and place 33/1 (1/4 odds 6 places)
A win in Abu Dhabi and runner up finishes in Shenzen and The WGC event in Mexico have underscored Fleetwood’s best ever season in some style. Although his record here is nothing special he did record a top ten finish in 2015 so we can reasonably expect some improvement on that this time as his game has stepped up a few gears.
OUTRIGHT: Tyrrell Hatton, 0.5 pts win and place 25/1 (1/4 odds 7 places)
This course seems right up the steady and consistent Hatton’s alley so it was no surprise he contended strongly here last year for three rounds before fading to a disappointing closing round of 75 for a tied seventh place finish. He has hardly set the heather on fire during his PGA Tour sojourn this year but will be hoping to rediscover some form back on home soil this week.
PGA TOUR: Dean and DeLuca Colonial
The Tour moves from Dallas a short distance to Fort Worth to The Colonial Club which is a more traditional style of course and shorter at only 7,000 yards with a par of 70. The fairways are fairly tight and tree-lined, the greens are small and tend to be set up fairly firm so in general accuracy is marginally favoured over power here.
OUTRIGHT: Ryan Palmer, 0.5 pts win and place 40/1 (1/4 odds 5 places)
Players are always worth noting when they play in their home state but when they are playing on their home course like Palmer this week they merit extra attention. Admittedly sometimes the extra spotlight and pressure affects a player adversely but that does not apply to Palmer, whose record here which reads 15T in 08, 5T in 12, 14T in 13, 5T in 14 and 3T in 16, has few peers. With two top fifteen place finishes in his last four starts current form is sound and we have the makings of a clear value bet.
OUTRIGHT: Danny Lee, 0.5 pts win and place 80/1 (1/4 odds 5 places)
Lee was a fast finishing tied fifth last week on his home course just down the road in Dallas, notably his first top five place finish of 2017. Hopefully he will maintain that form this week and improve on some decent recent performances here of 10T in 15 and 22T in 16.